Issued: Monday, April 22, 2024 8:00 am
Key Take-Aways Next Ten Days:
- Temperatures overall well below normal for this week region wide
- Frost and Freezes most mornings this week
- Minor rainfall and snowfall in the mountains Wednesday & Wednesday night
- Overall drier than normal
- Warmer than normal temperatures return early to mid-next week; less confident in New England
Discussion: The upper level pattern across the region has allowed for temperatures to be cooler than normal for this upcoming week with frost and freezes this morning, tomorrow morning, particularly Thursday and Friday morning, and possibly Saturday morning for parts of Southern New England. A potent cold font moving through the region Wednesday will bring some hit and miss showers and some snow in the mix for parts of northern New England mainly in the mountains. This cold front will be the leading edge to what is most likely the coldest morning until the fall with widespread morning low temperatures in the 20’s and 30’s. Since the growing season has begun for mot of the region expect Northern New England; there is a high likelihood of unprotected vegetation to be damaged if not killed.
Besides it being on the chilly side through the upcoming week; it will also be drier than normal heading into the middle part of next week with another chance of some rain showers Sunday and Monday as a warm front moves into and through most if not all of the region. This warm front will be the leading edge to milder above normal temperatures as the upper level pattern across Northern Hemisphere switches up. There is the potential for summer-like temperatures across much of the interior parts of New England and certainly across the Mid-Atlantic into Pennsylvania and New York State. However, across New England; particularly across Northern New England into Eastern Southern New England the confidence in very warm temperatures is much lower thanks to the possibility of an onshore wind from the cold Atlantic as the surface pressure pattern very well may favor a wind off the water or from Atlantic Canada. Where it does get warm to hot; temperatures early to mid-next week may near 90 degrees like parts of Maryland around DC into Virginia.
Lets take our weekly look at the temperature anomalies over the next few afternoon’s below.
Today’s high temperature anomalies below.
As you can see in the map above, afternoon high temperatures will be mainly below average across the region with the greatest negative anomalies residing across Northern New England and the least negative anomalies across the Mid-Atlantic.
Looking into tomorrow with the map below; we can see that much of New England will have afternoon high temperatures around normal with the greatest positive anomalies found across northern New England; the exact opposite of this afternoon’s anomalies.
By Wednesday we can see that afternoon temperature anomalies are back to below normal across almost the entire region with far Southern New England into the Mid-Atlantic around normal as seen on the map below.
Longer range thoughts:
We are forecasting above normal temperatures for the last few days of the month and to begin May for much of the Northeast with near to below normal rainfall. There is greater temperature uncertainty across New England as the pattern may provide wide daily swings in temperature. The month of May looks to be warmer than normal with rainfall near normal.
Please note that we now have available have ten-day temperature anomaly graphics available for the northeastern domain on your energy analysis dashboard.
For daily updated degree day forecasts and degree day totals, please consult your individual market on our Energy Analysis Dashboard at: https://www.nationalweatherforecastinginc.com/main-login/
Questions? Call (201) 427-1119
Next Update: Next Monday or storm updates as needed!