National Weather Forecasting, Inc.

NEFI EAD Discussion

Issued:  Monday, November 4, 2024  8:00 am

Key Take-Aways Next Ten Days:

  • Another very warm week is ahead overall with more record high temperatures expected
  • More seasonable temperatures by the weekend into early next week
  • More warmth potentially by mid next week
  • No major storms in sight; fire risk remains high for the central & southern parts of the region

Discussion: Overall another dry week is ahead for many as strong mid-level & surface high pressure dominate. A cold front will be moving through the region through the day Wednesday with limited rain activity from the Great Lakes which will bring more seasonal temperatures to end the week and through early next week. Daily record high temperatures are expected for some tomorrow and again Wednesday. Another warmup is looking likely for the middle part of next week as a new strong ridge of mid-level and surface high pressure set up across and over the region. With no widespread soaking rains through at least the next 10 days; the fire risk will remain high thanks to the drought conditions and overall warmer than normal temperatures. Brush and wildfires have been numerous across the central & southern parts of the region over the past week or so.

Let’s look at the forecasted high temperature anomalies over the next few days starting with today’s forecasted high temperature anomalies on the map below.   

As you can see on the map above; high temperature anomalies are forecasted to be slightly to above normal across the central & western parts of the region with well above normal high temperatures across the far western parts of the region.

Tomorrow features the entire region with well above normal for high temperatures of 15-25 degrees as seen on the map below! Daily record high temperatures are forecasted to be tied or broken.

Wednesday features more of the same across the region with high temperatures 15-25 degrees warmer than normal with yet again as seen on the map below. Daily record high temperatures being tied and or broken are forecasted out ahead of a cold front moving in from the Great Lakes.

Longer range thoughts:

We are forecasting November to finish much warmer than normal region wide with many locations 5-8 degrees above normal. Precipitation wise we are forecasting the month to end near to slightly below normal for many as our dry pattern looks to hold through at least mid-month.

Please note that we now have available have ten-day temperature anomaly graphics available for the northeastern domain on your energy analysis dashboard.

For daily updated degree day forecasts and degree day totals, please consult your individual market on our Energy Analysis Dashboard at:   https://www.nationalweatherforecastinginc.com/nefi/

Questions? Call (201) 427-1119

Next Update:  Next Monday or storm updates as needed!