National Weather Forecasting, Inc.

NEFI EAD Discussion

Issued:  Monday, July 22, 2024  8:00 am

Key Take-Aways Next Ten Days:

  • Temperatures at or below normal this week with humidity levels varying across the region
  • Unsettled most of this week with rain & tstorms
  • More intense heat with high humidity looking likely by late next week; above normal temperatures return

Discussion: A unsettled week is ahead as we some energy and a slow moving cold front that will be moving through the region providing us with rain and thunderstorms at times. Not expecting any widespread severe thunderstorms like what we have seen over the past few weeks, but a few strong to severe thunderstorms cant be ruled out with the main threat being strong to possibly damaging wind gusts.  

Temperatures for the most part of this week will be at or slightly below normal thanks to the clouds and rain. Humidity levels will vary largely across the region with higher humidity the further south through Thursday. Much lower humidity is expected by Friday region wide as a new area of surface high pressure builds in from Ontario and Québec which carries us through early next week for many.

Looking to start next week with low humidity and temperatures slightly above normal with a trend to higher humidity and temperatures further above normal by the middle and end of next week as our flow becomes southerly across the region.

Let’s look at some high temperature anomalies on the following pages over the next few days starting with today’s high temperature anomalies on the map below.  

As you can see on the map above, high temperatures today are forecasted to be within several degrees of normal across the region. No extremes in either direction.

Jumping ahead to Wednesday, we can see that yet again the entire region will likely see high temperatures within a few degrees of normal with no extremes in either direction as seen on the map below.

Thursday’s forecasted high temperature anomalies are similar to what is expected today and Wednesday as seen on the map below.

Longer range thoughts:

The month so far has been several degrees warmer than normal across the region. We expect the rest of the month to finish 2-3 degrees above normal with the month finishing 2-5 degrees above normal. We are forecasting August to finish 2-4 degrees warmer than normal as the pattern across North America remains overall consistent. As for the tropics; the Atlantic Basin remains quiet for now with activity likely to pick up by August 7th as the overall pattern becomes favorable for tropical cyclone development and as we begin to enter the peak of the hurricane season through August.  

Please note that we now have available have ten-day temperature anomaly graphics available for the northeastern domain on your energy analysis dashboard.

For daily updated degree day forecasts and degree day totals, please consult your individual market on our Energy Analysis Dashboard at:   https://www.nationalweatherforecastinginc.com/main-login/

Questions? Call (201) 427-1119

Next Update:  Next Monday or storm updates as needed!